The Effect of Inflation Uncertainty on Money Demand in Islamic Republic of Iran
Ebrahim Bahrami Nia, Sayed Hosein Izadi, Dr. Fariba Chavoshzadeh Tafti
Abstract
In this paper, we measure and analyze the effect of inflation uncertainty on money demand and quasi money in
Islamic republic of Iran based on time serious quarterly data from 1990:2-2010:3.This paper uses an EGARCH
method to model inflation uncertainty in Iran. We also used VECM method to estimate a long run relationship
between demand for real money and explanatory variables. Our result show that inflation uncertainty has effect
on money demand and quasi money in Iran and increase in inflation uncertainty leads to decrease in money
demand. In other words, by increase in inflation uncertainty, economic agents prefer to less demand for money,
because in high uncertainty condition, people prefer to use those asset has less risk of maintenance.
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